Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:26:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0B
0x0bf0…72ce
sports · 142 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,181 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,150 · open −$21
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$83
Realized−$2,150
Unrealized−$21
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses96 / 105
Whale WR (big bets)63%
Est. fees paid−$1,759
Open positions2
Markets (closed)201 / 142
History coverage12d
Avg bet$657
Trades / day289.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 2 History 201 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,124
7 days−$1,684
14 days−$2,150
30 days−$2,150
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Under 48¢ 38¢ $100 $78 −$22 (-22%)
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage Ursa 82¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+21%)
Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutet Corentin Moutet 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 1.5 Over 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
UD Las Palmas vs. Real Zaragoza: O/U 2.5 Over 49¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5 Under 9¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Cusco FC vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 2.5 Under 37¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 1.5 Under 22¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5 Over 55¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-05-26? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 4.5 Under 76¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-24? Yes 63¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-24? Yes 78¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
CA River Plate vs. Club Blooming: O/U 1.5 Under 15¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca (BO5) - ESL Challenger League North America Finals Playoffs Voca 1¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5 Under 22¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Los Angeles FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 1.5 Over 7¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Georgia vs. Bahrain: O/U 1.5 Under 11¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutet Jun 12 $3 −$5 -139%
CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $3 −$25 -771%
UD Las Palmas vs. Real Zaragoza: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Cusco FC vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 -281%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-05-26? Jun 12 $72 −$96 -133%
Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $30 −$29 -98%
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $27 −$31 -113%
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
CA River Plate vs. Club Blooming: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $10 +$4 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca (BO5) - ESL Challenger League North Americ Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +0%
Los Angeles FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $0 +$1 +248%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$14 -95%
Real Valladolid CF vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $44 −$44 -100%
Colorado Rapids SC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-05-26? Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Will UD Las Palmas vs. Real Zaragoza end in a draw? Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 12 $50 −$192 -387%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Racing Club vs. Caracas FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
SSC Napoli vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Nashville SC vs. New York City FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $35 −$54 -152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $34 −$31 -92%
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $30 −$34 -112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
AC Monza vs. US Catanzaro 1929: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1 +$3 +311%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
SS Lazio vs. Pisa SC: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Santos FC vs. CD Cuenca: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $870 −$908 -104%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 91% +$209
other 8% +$13
crypto 1% −$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 29¢ $11 3m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 29¢ $45 3m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 4¢ $0 3m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 48¢ $37 3m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 48¢ $39 3m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 48¢ $24 3m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 52¢ $34 5m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 52¢ $1 5m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 52¢ $3 5m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 52¢ $5 5m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 52¢ $1 5m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 52¢ $1 6m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 52¢ $3 6m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 52¢ $52 6m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 51¢ $5 10m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 51¢ $3 10m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 51¢ $94 10m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 50¢ $88 10m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 52¢ $106 10m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 50¢ $5 10m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 50¢ $7 10m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 51¢ $104 11m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 52¢ $98 16m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $100 20m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL 9z 99¢ $361 57m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 88¢ $99 58m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 77¢ $97 58m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 77¢ $99 58m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL 9z 87¢ $77 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL 9z 87¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-26.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 136 -30.9% -37.5% 41% 10% -11.5%
≤30d 201 -18.3% -26.1% 48% 14% -11.2%
≤90d 201 -18.3% -26.1% 48% 14% -11.2%
all 201 -18.3% -26.1% 48% 14% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover289.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.1% 14% -11.2%
10% ← realistic here -33.2% 5% -19.7%
15% -39.6% 4% -27.5%
20% -45.5% 4% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $82.83 · official $82.83 (match) · 3500 history records