trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | +67.4% | +51.5% | 100% | 100% | +51.5% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -12.6% | -20.9% | 80% | 10% | -35.5% |
| all | 14 | -8.9% | -17.6% | 86% | 7% | -32.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -17.6% | 7% | -32.7% |
| 10% | -25.5% | 7% | -39.2% |
| 15% | -32.7% | 7% | -45.0% |
| 20% | -39.3% | 7% | -50.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 66¢ | 66¢ | $208 | $206 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | Jun 05 | $177 | +$120 | +67% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 13 | $115 | −$114 | -99% |
| Will January 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? | May 13 | $8 | $0 | +1% |
| Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026? | May 13 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15? | May 13 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of February? | May 13 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February? | May 13 | $11 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 3? | May 13 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | May 13 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Apr 17 | $158 | −$156 | -99% |
| Will Moonshot have the top AI model at the end of January 2026? | Feb 04 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January? | Feb 04 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA reach $272 in January? | Feb 04 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026? | Jan 09 | $22 | $0 | +0% |