trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $2 | +$1 | +55% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $3 | −$3 | -99% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET | Jun 13 | $2 | +$2 | +90% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | Jun 13 | $10 | −$5 | -48% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | Jun 12 | $5 | +$6 | +124% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $5 | +$2 | +34% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | -53.2% | -57.7% | 27% | 27% | -62.5% |
| ≤30d | 15 | -53.2% | -57.7% | 27% | 27% | -62.5% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -53.2% | -57.7% | 27% | 27% | -62.5% |
| all | 15 | -53.2% | -57.7% | 27% | 27% | -62.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -57.7% | 27% | -62.5% |
| 10% | -61.7% | 27% | -66.1% |
| 15% | -65.4% | 20% | -69.3% |
| 20% | -68.8% | 20% | -72.3% |