Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:32:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0B
0x0bf8…03b2
sports · 838 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$2,136 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$828 · open +$1,399
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$62,361
Realized+$828
Unrealized+$1,399
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses411 / 379
Whale WR (big bets)61%
Est. fees paid−$8,120
Open positions48
Markets (closed)790 / 838
Avg bet$1,502
Trades / day11.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 48 History 790 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11,355
7 days+$5,292
14 days+$59
30 days−$17,507
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 94¢ 100¢ $12,460 $13,304 +$844 (+7%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 88¢ 88¢ $13,074 $12,996 −$78 (-1%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Bilibili Gaming 93¢ 92¢ $9,360 $9,241 −$118 (-1%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner T1 97¢ 100¢ $5,000 $5,172 +$172 (+3%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 90¢ 100¢ $2,900 $3,215 +$315 (+11%)
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 71¢ 72¢ $1,300 $1,327 +$27 (+2%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Hanwha Life Esports 57¢ 74¢ $664 $860 +$196 (+30%)
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 74¢ 76¢ $800 $830 +$30 (+4%)
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 80¢ 83¢ $800 $830 +$30 (+4%)
Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 64¢ 65¢ $800 $809 +$9 (+1%)
Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 79¢ 79¢ $800 $805 +$5 (+1%)
Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 72¢ 72¢ $800 $802 +$2 (+0%)
Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 81¢ 81¢ $800 $800 +$0 (+0%)
Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 75¢ 73¢ $800 $779 −$21 (-3%)
Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 72¢ 69¢ $800 $774 −$26 (-3%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 11¢ $501 $686 +$185 (+37%)
Will Switzerland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 60¢ 62¢ $600 $616 +$16 (+3%)
Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 55¢ 64¢ $500 $581 +$81 (+16%)
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 60¢ 57¢ $600 $569 −$31 (-5%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 15¢ 16¢ $501 $521 +$20 (+4%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $501 $509 +$8 (+2%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 9¢ $501 $491 −$10 (-2%)
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $500 $490 −$10 (-2%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $501 $468 −$34 (-7%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $400 $456 +$56 (+14%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $162 −$160 -99%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $232 +$101 +44%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $26 +$121 +474%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 11 $152 −$152 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 11 $11,333 −$11,333 -100%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $26 −$25 -98%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 11 $51 −$50 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5 Jun 11 $51 +$49 +96%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5 Jun 11 $152 +$94 +62%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $107 +$117 +109%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $10,067 +$268 +3%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $364 +$100 +27%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $11,051 +$1,978 +18%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $27,029 +$10,199 +38%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $12,627 +$410 +3%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $21,319 +$157 +1%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $10,009 +$299 +3%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $11,093 +$152 +1%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $4,790 +$105 +2%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $7,227 +$95 +1%
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? Jun 07 $10,216 −$216 -2%
Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $304 −$13 -4%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 06 $14,218 +$670 +5%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $10,013 +$424 +4%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $1,004 +$172 +17%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 06 $21,408 +$5,292 +25%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $20,006 +$211 +1%
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) Jun 06 $1,000 +$10 +1%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 06 $4,646 −$1,894 -41%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $12,148 −$4,323 -36%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 Jun 06 $123 −$81 -66%
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Jun 06 $406 −$188 -46%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 05 $18,351 +$600 +3%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $14,718 +$964 +6%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $1,009 +$440 +44%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $30,023 +$769 +3%
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary Jun 05 $10,002 −$69 -1%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 05 $253 +$205 +81%
Real Madrid vs. La Laguna Tenerife Jun 05 $261 −$261 -100%
LoL: Crusaders vs Bubliki - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $102 −$102 -100%
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Playoffs Jun 05 $433 −$313 -72%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 05 $353 −$353 -100%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 05 $507 −$326 -64%
Spread: Indiana Fever (-1.5) Jun 05 $112 −$107 -96%
Spread: Slovenia (-1.5) Jun 04 $123 +$87 +70%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5 Jun 04 $3,147 +$41 +1%
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Jun 04 $122 −$99 -82%
LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffs Jun 03 $1,403 +$102 +7%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Barça eSports (BO5) - LES Playoffs Jun 03 $3,001 +$48 +2%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 03 $4,005 +$188 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 96% +$3,552
other 1% +$648
tech 1% −$408
politics 1% −$321
world 1% −$1,018
crypto 0% −$283
weather 0% −$42
culture 0% +$99
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 54¢ $176 26m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $202 30m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 95¢ $10,015 35m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 91¢ $1,203 37m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 90¢ $1,003 37m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 87¢ $309 56m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 87¢ $86 58m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $262 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 97¢ $5,005 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 93¢ $1,403 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 92¢ $1,203 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 59¢ $152 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 75¢ $302 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 87¢ $41 4h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 87¢ $1 4h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 87¢ $13 5h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 87¢ $201 5h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 87¢ $127 5h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 87¢ $34 6h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 87¢ $120 6h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 87¢ $13 6h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 87¢ $134 6h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 87¢ $33 6h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 87¢ $7 6h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 87¢ $87 6h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 87¢ $20 6h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 87¢ $24 6h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 87¢ $40 6h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 87¢ $7 6h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 87¢ $953 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-14.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 +8.0% -2.3% 68% 30% -7.9%
≤30d 257 -6.6% -15.5% 53% 37% -11.1%
≤90d 756 -9.8% -18.4% 51% 43% -9.7%
all 790 -5.0% -14.1% 52% 44% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.4 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.1% 44% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -22.3% 38% -18.1%
15% -29.8% 32% -26.0%
20% -36.7% 24% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $62,361.05 · official $62,361.33 (match) · 3446 history records