Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:46:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0B
0x0bf8…9225
crypto · 1125 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$488 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$602 · open −$16
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$602
Unrealized−$16
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses1028 / 96
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1124 / 1125
History coverage19d
Avg bet$51
Trades / day85.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 1 History 1124 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$10
14 days−$10
30 days−$602
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 36¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-99%)
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 80¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 69¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 48¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 95¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 81¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 83¢ $107 $0 −$107 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 91¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 37¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 97¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 92¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Down 70¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 91¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 44¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 42¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 90¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 78¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 66¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Up 98¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Down 98¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 92¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 44¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 78¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Down 95¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Down 89¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +124%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$8 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $17 +$21 +124%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$8 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $17 +$17 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$10 +124%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$4 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$12 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $22 +$25 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $34 −$33 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$16 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$13 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% −$579
other 13% −$92
sports 1% +$52
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $17 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $8 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $4 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $17 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $8 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $17 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 56 -22.3% -29.7% 36% 36% -12.8%
≤30d 1124 -2.0% -11.4% 91% 8% -10.5%
≤90d 1124 -2.0% -11.4% 91% 8% -10.5%
all 1124 -2.0% -11.4% 91% 8% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover85.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.4% 8% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.9% 4% -19.0%
15% -27.6% 3% -26.9%
20% -34.7% 2% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.22 · official $19.33 · 2637 history records