Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T12:45:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0C 0x0c00…b4e9 crypto 1126 markets active 0h ago coverage 30d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 30d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$4 (+1%) realized +$4 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR22%break-even
Win rate38%431W / 694L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day49.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$1
30 days−$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 +0.3% -9.3% 79% 7% -11.0%
≤30d 1120 -1.6% -11.0% 38% 22% -11.5%
≤90d 1125 -1.6% -11.0% 38% 22% -11.6%
all 1125 -1.6% -11.0% 38% 22% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover49.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.0% 22% -11.6%
10% ← realistic here -19.5% 6% -20.0%
15% -27.3% 4% -27.7%
20% -34.4% 1% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
39% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
0.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$0 · ×0.5 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.72 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

30d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses431 / 694
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1125 / 1126
History coverage30d ⚠
Avg bet$1
Trades / day49.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 1125 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 3 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 05 $0 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 05 $0 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 05 $0 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 05 $0 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 05 $0 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 05 $0 $0 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 05 $0 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 05 $0 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 05 $0 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 05 $0 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 05 $0 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 05 $0 $0 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 05 $0 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 05 $0 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 05 $0 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 05 $0 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 05 $0 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 05 $0 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 05 $0 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 05 $0 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 05 $0 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 04 $0 $0 -27%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Up 9¢ $0 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET SELL Up 9¢ $0 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $0 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Up 9¢ $0 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Down 17¢ $0 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Down 8¢ $0 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Up 9¢ $0 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 8¢ $0 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $0 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Down 9¢ $0 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 9¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Up 8¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Down 8¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Up 9¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 9¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Down 6¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Down 9¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $0 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Up 11¢ $0 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.30 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records