Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T10:04:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0C 0x0c0c…baf0 crypto 851 markets active 2h ago coverage 43d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnoverP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (56 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$2,956 (-21%) realized −$2,956 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -13% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -33% what you keep after slip
Net edge-33%after slip
Net WR39%break-even
Win rate57%503W / 380L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$17per market
Trades / day56.3pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 43d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 91% −$192
sports 5% +$9
other 1% +$6
finance 1% +$2
tech 1% +$1
culture 1% +$6
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (56 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-21.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 70 -39.8% -45.6% 37% 26% -15.8%
≤30d 233 -9.4% -18.1% 56% 41% -12.5%
≤90d 883 -12.8% -21.1% 57% 39% -12.5%
all 883 -12.8% -21.1% 57% 39% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover56.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.1% 39% -12.5%
10% ← realistic here -28.7% 28% -20.8%
15% -35.6% 22% -28.5%
20% -41.9% 17% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
30% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -13% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -15% → late -11% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$10 · ×0.67 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.88 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

43d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,956
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses503 / 380
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)883 / 851
History coverage43d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day56.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 883 Trades
no open positions (314 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 23 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 23 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 23 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 23 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 23 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 23 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 23 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 23 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 23 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 23 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 23 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 23 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 23 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 23 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 23 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 23 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 23 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 23 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 23 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 23 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 23 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 23 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 23 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 23 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 23 $37 +$32 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 23 $72 −$20 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 23 $39 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 22 $39 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 22 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 22 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 22 $39 +$5 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 22 $40 +$30 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 22 $39 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 22 $40 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 22 $39 +$6 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 21 $37 +$18 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 20 $39 +$13 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 20 $40 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 20 $39 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 19 $40 +$4 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 19 $40 +$12 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 19 $40 −$40 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $37 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $39 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $39 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $39 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $32 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $40 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $39 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $40 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $39 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $39 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $37 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $39 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $40 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $39 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $40 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $40 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $30 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $6 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $21 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $12 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $39 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $14 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3000 history records