trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -48.9% | -53.8% | 33% | 33% | -15.5% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -48.9% | -53.8% | 33% | 33% | -15.5% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -55.8% | -60.0% | 20% | 20% | -26.8% |
| all | 21 | -41.8% | -47.3% | 24% | 19% | -37.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -47.3% | 19% | -37.2% |
| 10% | -52.4% | 19% | -43.2% |
| 15% | -57.0% | 10% | -48.7% |
| 20% | -61.2% | 10% | -53.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 3.5 Corners | Over | 54¢ | 52¢ | $15 | $15 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 7.5 Total Corners | Over | 40¢ | 22¢ | $8 | $4 | −$4 (-45%) |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 8.5 Total Corners | Under | 8¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in December? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 8.5 Total Corners | Jun 14 | $13 | −$9 | -72% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 7.5 Total Corners | Jun 14 | $29 | +$7 | +25% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 8.5 Total Corners | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | Mar 19 | $28 | −$9 | -32% |
| Will Trump say "N Word" in December? | Mar 19 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025? | Jan 02 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meetin | Dec 10 | $9 | −$3 | -35% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 December 1-7? | Dec 04 | $3 | −$2 | -57% |
| Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in December? | Dec 03 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) | Nov 22 | $27 | −$23 | -85% |
| Games Total: O/U 4.5 | Nov 09 | $9 | +$11 | +113% |
| Will Trump say "Liberation Day" this week? (November 3 - 9) | Nov 08 | $4 | −$3 | -97% |
| Will Trump veto a bill in 2025? | Nov 08 | $9 | −$4 | -47% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%? | Nov 08 | $11 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will Trump say "Caspian Sea" during C5+1 Summit on November 6? | Nov 07 | $4 | +$5 | +138% |
| Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the NOF1.ai competition? | Nov 03 | $8 | −$5 | -67% |
| Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition? | Nov 03 | $6 | −$1 | -10% |
| Games Total: O/U 4.5 | Nov 03 | $8 | +$3 | +32% |
| LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner | Nov 03 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2025? | Nov 02 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2025? | Nov 02 | $1 | −$1 | -90% |