Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:11:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0C
0x0c16…b156
crypto · 260 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$280 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$278 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$13
Realized−$278
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses176 / 81
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions3
Markets (closed)257 / 260
History coverage402d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day1.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 3 History 257 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11
7 days−$28
14 days−$67
30 days−$99
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 44¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-25%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 36¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+37%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 20¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+21%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-12? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Frances Tiafoe 89¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Thailand win on 2026-06-05? Yes 96¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 42¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? Yes 60¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$4 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +14%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $20 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$11 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +20%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $2 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $15 −$15 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $25 −$25 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 11 $15 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 11 $15 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$6 +110%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 78% −$152
other 17% −$156
world 2% −$1
sports 2% +$14
politics 1% +$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 56m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $2 2h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 2h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 2h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 93¢ $22 3h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 84¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 10h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 57¢ $7 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 11h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $7 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-14.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 118 -0.4% -9.9% 80% 20% -11.0%
≤30d 188 -4.5% -13.6% 73% 27% -13.2%
≤90d 203 -2.9% -12.1% 72% 28% -13.5%
all 257 -5.0% -14.0% 68% 28% -15.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.0% 28% -15.9%
10% -22.2% 14% -24.0%
15% -29.8% 9% -31.3%
20% -36.6% 7% -38.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12.69 · official $12.86 (match) · 648 history records