Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:07:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0C
0x0c1e…52df
crypto · 4 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$13 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$13 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$13
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses1 / 3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)4 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day11.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days−$13
14 days−$13
30 days−$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $76 $0 −$76 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $82 −$76 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$75 +407%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $94 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $11 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)+14.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +26.8% +14.7% 25% 25% -20.3%
≤30d 4 +26.8% +14.7% 25% 25% -20.3%
≤90d 4 +26.8% +14.7% 25% 25% -20.3%
all 4 +26.8% +14.7% 25% 25% -20.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +14.7% 25% -20.3%
10% +3.7% 25% -28.0%
15% -6.3% 25% -34.9%
20% -15.5% 25% -41.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 11 history records