Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:50:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0C
0x0c28…b74e
other · 29 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses14 / 15
Open positions0
Markets (closed)29 / 29
History coverage453d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day0.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit59%
Chart Positions 0 History 29 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$3
14 days+$3
30 days+$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 13 $49 +$2 +4%
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? Jun 10 $61 $0 -0%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? Jun 09 $33 +$1 +2%
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 09 $48 $0 +0%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Jun 09 $51 $0 +0%
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? Dec 17 $7 −$1 -13%
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 World Series? Dec 14 $1 $0 +1%
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July? Jun 26 $5 $0 +3%
Will Nikita Kucherov win the Hart Trophy? May 24 $5 $0 -0%
Will Man City qualify for the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League? May 23 $5 $0 +0%
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more betwe May 22 $7 −$1 -18%
Will Tom Hanks be named in Epstein files? May 20 $6 $0 +0%
Will Germany win Eurovision 2025? May 19 $1 $0 +1%
Will Frank McCourt buy TikTok? May 18 $6 $0 +0%
Will Denmark finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5? May 17 $6 $0 -0%
Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 35% of the vote in the South Korea el May 17 $6 $0 +0%
Will Pedri win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? May 16 $6 $0 +0%
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? May 16 $7 $0 +3%
Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election? Apr 28 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Ethereum reach $2000 in April? Apr 25 $7 $0 -5%
Will the New Democratic Party win the third most seats in the next Can Apr 25 $9 $0 -0%
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? Apr 24 $1 $0 +2%
Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense in Trump's first 100 Apr 24 $9 $0 +1%
Will Ethereum dip to $1200 in April? Apr 23 $8 +$1 +6%
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? Apr 20 $8 $0 -2%
Will Elon tweet 600-624 times March 21-28? Mar 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days? Mar 25 $11 $0 +0%
Will Ontario resume electricity surcharge to the U.S. by next Friday? Mar 21 $11 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 35% +$3
other 28% −$2
finance 16% $0
politics 10% −$3
crypto 4% $0
sports 3% $0
culture 2% −$1
tech 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 78¢ $51 1h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 75¢ $49 3h
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? SELL Yes 2¢ $1 11h
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? SELL Yes 2¢ $1 11h
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 15h
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? SELL Yes 19¢ $2 2d
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? SELL Yes 19¢ $2 2d
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? SELL Yes 19¢ $12 2d
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? BUY Yes 19¢ $0 2d
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? BUY Yes 19¢ $5 2d
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? BUY Yes 19¢ $10 2d
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? SELL No 81¢ $24 2d
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? SELL No 81¢ $21 2d
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? BUY No 81¢ $6 2d
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? BUY No 81¢ $39 2d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? SELL Yes 44¢ $3 3d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? SELL Yes 44¢ $31 3d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? BUY Yes 43¢ $13 3d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? BUY Yes 43¢ $19 3d
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 96¢ $48 3d
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY No 96¢ $8 3d
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY No 96¢ $41 3d
US strike on Cuba by December 31? SELL Yes 39¢ $4 3d
US strike on Cuba by December 31? SELL Yes 39¢ $47 3d
US strike on Cuba by December 31? BUY Yes 39¢ $51 4d
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? SELL No 1¢ $0 177d
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July? SELL No 100¢ $5 351d
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $1 370d
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July? BUY No 96¢ $4 384d
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July? BUY No 96¢ $1 384d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-15.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +3.3% -6.6% 50% 17% -8.5%
≤30d 6 +3.3% -6.6% 50% 17% -8.5%
≤90d 6 +3.3% -6.6% 50% 17% -8.5%
all 29 -6.8% -15.7% 48% 3% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.7% 3% -10.1%
10% -23.8% 0% -18.7%
15% -31.1% 0% -26.6%
20% -37.9% 0% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 92 history records