Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T11:11:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0C 0x0c35…57e7 crypto 351 markets active 5d ago coverage 83d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$119 (-12%) realized −$119 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -25% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -35% what you keep after slip
Net edge-35%after slip
Net WR34%break-even
Win rate36%127W / 224L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day7.9pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit86%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$51
14 days−$65
30 days−$65
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 85% −$96
other 12% −$35
sports 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-31.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 198 -15.8% -23.8% 41% 38% -17.7%
≤30d 215 -17.1% -25.0% 40% 37% -19.2%
≤90d 351 -24.7% -31.9% 36% 34% -21.0%
all 351 -24.7% -31.9% 36% 34% -21.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover7.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -31.9% 34% -21.0%
10% -38.4% 31% -28.5%
15% -44.3% 29% -35.4%
20% -49.8% 29% -41.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -13% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -25% · $-wt -13% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -27% → late -22% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$2 · ×1.3 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.74 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

83d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$119
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses127 / 224
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)351 / 351
History coverage83d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day7.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 351 Trades
no open positions (6 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca Jun 15 $5 +$20 +388%
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) Jun 15 $20 −$20 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +108%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -72%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -54%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -88%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -71%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca BUY Justin Gaethje 20¢ $5 5d
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) BUY Alex Pereira 53¢ $20 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 6d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 6d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 6d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 6d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 6d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 79¢ $4 6d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $3 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $0 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 6d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $0 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 6d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET SELL Up 81¢ $4 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 6d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 994 history records