trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 33% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -0.9% | -10.3% | 36% | 0% | -10.1% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -0.9% | -10.3% | 36% | 0% | -10.1% |
| all | 24 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 50% | 4% | -10.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.4% | 4% | -10.0% |
| 10% | -18.0% | 4% | -18.6% |
| 15% | -26.0% | 0% | -26.5% |
| 20% | -33.2% | 0% | -33.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 86¢ | 86¢ | $34 | $34 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 19 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 19 | $34 | $0 | -0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 07 | $70 | $0 | -0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | Jun 07 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 06 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 06 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 06 | $107 | −$3 | -2% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 05 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 04 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | Jun 01 | $1 | $0 | -7% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Romania's court annul the presidential election? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Rumble buy TikTok? | Jun 26 | $8 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 19 | $7 | −$2 | -26% |
| Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people? | May 12 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series? | May 11 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? | May 06 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | May 03 | $4 | +$1 | +29% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2000 in April? | Apr 25 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Apr 25 | $4 | $0 | +2% |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League? | Mar 29 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference? | Mar 27 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Ethereum above $1,900 on March 21? | Mar 22 | $12 | $0 | +4% |