Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:44:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0C
0x0c3d…cfbf
crypto · 174 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$72 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$73 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$270
Realized−$73
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses96 / 74
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions4
Markets (closed)170 / 174
History coverage3d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day123.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 4 History 170 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$73
14 days−$73
30 days−$73
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Down 98¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 88¢ 100¢ $8 $9 +$1 (+13%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down 85¢ 100¢ $7 $8 +$1 (+18%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 92¢ 100¢ $7 $7 +$1 (+8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 75¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$2 (+33%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 72¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$2 (+38%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 76¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+31%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Down 72¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$2 (+39%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 79¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+27%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 74¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$2 (+36%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 77¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+30%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 74¢ 100¢ $4 $6 +$2 (+36%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Down 84¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+20%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 74¢ 100¢ $4 $6 +$2 (+35%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Up 85¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+17%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 81¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+23%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 89¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 81¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+23%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 72¢ 100¢ $4 $6 +$2 (+40%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 87¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+15%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Down 92¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Up 92¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET Up 93¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Up 93¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 94¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+6%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 81% −$32
sports 11% −$42
world 3% +$10
other 2% −$3
tech 2% −$4
politics 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $3 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-18.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 170 -9.6% -18.2% 56% 48% -8.0%
≤30d 170 -9.6% -18.2% 56% 48% -8.0%
≤90d 170 -9.6% -18.2% 56% 48% -8.0%
all 170 -9.6% -18.2% 56% 48% -8.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover123.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.2% 48% -8.0%
10% ← realistic here -26.0% 35% -16.8%
15% -33.2% 19% -24.8%
20% -39.7% 12% -32.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $270.11 · official $269.07 (match) · 421 history records