trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 3 | -31.4% | -37.9% | 67% | 0% | -10.8% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -4.9% | -13.9% | 94% | 6% | -8.4% |
| all | 17 | -4.6% | -13.7% | 94% | 6% | -8.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.7% | 6% | -8.5% |
| 10% | -21.9% | 0% | -17.2% |
| 15% | -29.5% | 0% | -25.2% |
| 20% | -36.4% | 0% | -32.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $206 | $206 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of June 1 2026? | Jun 06 | $931 | +$5 | +1% |
| LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner | Jun 03 | $40 | −$38 | -95% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 3 | Jun 01 | $964 | +$5 | +0% |
| Will "Legends: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | May 20 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| Will "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | May 20 | $140 | $0 | +0% |
| Will "La Brea: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | May 20 | $140 | $0 | +0% |
| Will "Devil May Cry: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | May 20 | $150 | $0 | +0% |
| Will "Nemesis" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | May 20 | $183 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will "Lord of the Flies" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | May 20 | $250 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Azerbaijan be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? | May 17 | $345 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Azerbaijan win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | May 17 | $617 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Apr | May 01 | $961 | +$1 | +0% |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | Apr 14 | $494 | +$15 | +3% |
| Hornets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 06 | $847 | +$99 | +12% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 2? | Apr 03 | $442 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on April 1? | Apr 02 | $405 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of March 23 above $120? | Mar 29 | $844 | +$2 | +0% |