Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:55:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0C
0x0c4e…bf78
crypto · 1018 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$103 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$268 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$268
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses507 / 508
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1015 / 1018
History coverage28d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day86.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1015 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$10
7 days+$10
14 days−$90
30 days−$268
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 51¢ 57¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+13%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$2 -39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +83%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$269
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-13.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 81 +3.3% -6.5% 49% 44% -5.3%
≤30d 1015 -4.4% -13.5% 50% 41% -13.7%
≤90d 1015 -4.4% -13.5% 50% 41% -13.7%
all 1015 -4.4% -13.5% 50% 41% -13.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover86.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.5% 41% -13.7%
10% ← realistic here -21.8% 38% -22.0%
15% -29.3% 33% -29.5%
20% -36.3% 30% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.94 · official $3.19 (match) · 2752 history records