Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T11:13:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0C 0x0c4e…6982 crypto 231 markets active 1h ago coverage 5d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (50 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$5 (-2%) realized −$5 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate50%115W / 116L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day50.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 5d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (50 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-13.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 231 -4.8% -13.9% 50% 50% -12.5%
≤30d 231 -4.8% -13.9% 50% 50% -12.5%
≤90d 231 -4.8% -13.9% 50% 50% -12.5%
all 231 -4.8% -13.9% 50% 50% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover50.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.9% 50% -12.5%
10% ← realistic here -22.1% 50% -20.9%
15% -29.6% 50% -28.5%
20% -36.5% 50% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -11% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.94 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.93 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses115 / 116
Open positions0
Markets (closed)231 / 231
History coverage5d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day50.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 231 Trades
no open positions (110 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 20 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 20 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 20 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 20 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 20 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 20 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 20 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 19 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 19 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 19 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 19 $1 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 19 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 19 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 19 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 19 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 19 $1 $0 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 19 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 19 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 19 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 19 $1 +$1 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 19 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 19 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 19 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 18 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 18 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 18 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 18 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 18 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 18 $1 +$1 +93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 352 history records