Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:18:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0C
0x0c55…3408
crypto · 1108 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,873 +26%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$295 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$295
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses817 / 291
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1108 / 1108
History coverage10d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day252.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1108 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$113
7 days−$230
14 days−$295
30 days−$295
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 46¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 44¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 83¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 59¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 53¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 35¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 51¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 30¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 52¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 45¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 24¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 52¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 55¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 46¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 59¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 48¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 59¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 53¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 53¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 83¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 33¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 42¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 52¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 53¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$21 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$8 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$9 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $42 +$38 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$19 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $26 +$22 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$5 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $29 +$19 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $28 +$20 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$11 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$5 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$17 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$10 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$13 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$5 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$5 +70%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$295
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $22 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $42 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $26 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $26 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $13 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $6 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +72%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 538 -5.6% -14.6% 71% 71% -15.5%
≤30d 1108 +0.5% -9.1% 74% 72% -13.3%
≤90d 1108 +0.5% -9.1% 74% 72% -13.3%
all 1108 +0.5% -9.1% 74% 72% -13.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover252.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.1% 72% -13.3%
10% ← realistic here -17.8% 11% -21.6%
15% -25.7% 6% -29.2%
20% -33.0% 5% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records