Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T09:50:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0C 0x0c57…c82f sports 72 markets active 1h ago coverage 50d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialistFresh edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$116 (-1%) realized −$116 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -12% what you keep after slip
Net edge-12%after slip
Net WR14%break-even
Win rate88%63W / 9L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$146per market
Trades / day4.1pace
Fees−$26est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$10
7 days+$10
14 days+$10
30 days+$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% −$302
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +2.9% -6.9% 100% 0% -6.9%
≤30d 16 +4.2% -5.7% 88% 6% -8.6%
≤90d 72 +0.6% -9.0% 88% 14% -12.1%
all 72 +0.6% -9.0% 88% 14% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover4.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.0% 14% -12.1%
10% -17.7% 1% -20.5%
15% -25.6% 1% -28.2%
20% -32.9% 1% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
83% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late +5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$10 vs −$104 · ×0.1 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.68 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

50d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$116
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses63 / 9
Est. fees paid−$26
Open positions0
Markets (closed)72 / 72
History coverage50d
Avg bet$146
Trades / day4.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 72 Trades
no open positions (4 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 28 $175 +$5 +3%
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 28 $180 +$5 +3%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $146 +$13 +9%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $137 +$12 +8%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $39 +$58 +149%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $41 −$21 -52%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $100 +$6 +6%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $100 +$10 +10%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $95 +$5 +5%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $90 +$5 +6%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $90 +$4 +4%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $86 +$4 +5%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner May 31 $82 +$3 +4%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner May 31 $78 +$4 +5%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner May 30 $98 −$98 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 29 $170 +$3 +2%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner May 29 $160 +$8 +5%
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 28 $94 +$6 +6%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner May 28 $98 +$1 +1%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner May 27 $92 +$7 +8%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 27 $100 +$5 +5%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 3 Winner May 24 $109 +$10 +9%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 23 $18 +$1 +6%
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner May 23 $115 +$4 +3%
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner May 23 $114 +$5 +4%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifi May 22 $117 +$2 +2%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 3 Winner May 22 $96 +$3 +3%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 22 $90 +$10 +11%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner May 22 $98 +$2 +2%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 4 Winner May 21 $95 +$4 +4%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner May 21 $98 +$2 +2%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 21 $97 +$2 +2%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner May 20 $96 +$4 +4%
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 20 $17 +$3 +17%
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner May 20 $86 +$4 +5%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner May 17 $86 +$4 +4%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner May 17 $78 +$7 +10%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 17 $76 +$4 +5%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 17 $61 +$9 +14%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner May 17 $55 +$5 +9%
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 16 $9 +$1 +8%
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner May 16 $628 −$627 -100%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner May 16 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 16 $430 +$22 +5%
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 2 Winner May 16 $201 −$178 -88%
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 16 $480 +$19 +4%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 15 $490 +$9 +2%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 15 $93 +$7 +7%
LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winner May 15 $92 +$8 +9%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner May 15 $526 +$34 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Karmine Corp 100¢ $180 1h
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 97¢ $175 1h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner SELL T1 100¢ $185 6h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 97¢ $180 6h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 99¢ $158 14d
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 91¢ $144 14d
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 91¢ $2 14d
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Team WE 99¢ $148 14d
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Team WE 91¢ $137 14d
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Team WE 99¢ $97 14d
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 39¢ $39 14d
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL KT Rolster 6¢ $0 15d
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL KT Rolster 6¢ $20 15d
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster 12¢ $41 15d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 99¢ $106 15d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 93¢ $100 15d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $110 16d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 91¢ $100 16d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner SELL KT Rolster 99¢ $100 20d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 94¢ $95 20d
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner SELL Top Esports 100¢ $0 20d
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner SELL Top Esports 100¢ $95 21d
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner BUY Top Esports 94¢ $90 21d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner SELL Dplus KIA 99¢ $94 21d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner BUY Dplus KIA 95¢ $90 21d
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner SELL Dplus KIA 100¢ $90 22d
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner BUY Dplus KIA 95¢ $86 22d
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner SELL Top Esports 99¢ $85 27d
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 95¢ $82 27d
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner SELL Top Esports 99¢ $82 27d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 206 history records