trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +67.3% | +51.4% | 50% | 50% | +33.8% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +12.5% | +1.8% | 36% | 36% | +17.3% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +12.5% | +1.8% | 36% | 36% | +17.3% |
| all | 18 | -6.4% | -15.3% | 33% | 33% | -20.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.3% | 33% | -20.7% |
| 10% | -23.4% | 33% | -28.2% |
| 15% | -30.8% | 33% | -35.2% |
| 20% | -37.6% | 33% | -41.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) AND Spread: France (-2.5) AND Will Algeria wi | Jun 23 | $51 | +$262 | +511% |
| Spread: Japan (-1.5) | Jun 22 | $509 | +$563 | +110% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 21 | $101 | +$84 | +83% |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Sweden? | Jun 20 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Sweden? | Jun 20 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $203 | −$200 | -99% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $51 | +$68 | +134% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca | Jun 15 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Jun 15 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | Dec 30 | $2,863 | −$1,429 | -50% |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) | Nov 10 | $1,000 | +$562 | +56% |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5) | Oct 31 | $127 | −$127 | -100% |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) | Oct 30 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) | Oct 30 | $76 | +$44 | +59% |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7? | Oct 29 | $23 | −$4 | -17% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on October 28? | Oct 28 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |