Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T11:12:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4.5
score
0C 0x0c8c…8098 crypto 4 markets active 2h ago coverage 52d
RISKYcopy with care crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL +$1,947 (+34%) realized +$1,947 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +16% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +0% what you keep after slip
Net edge+0%after slip
Net WR75%break-even
Win rate75%3W / 1L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$1,427per market
Trades / day0.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 52d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$1,783
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +75%
net ROI/market (all)+4.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -12.9% -21.2% 0% 0% -21.2%
≤30d 4 +15.5% +4.5% 75% 75% +18.7%
≤90d 4 +15.5% +4.5% 75% 75% +18.7%
all 4 +15.5% +4.5% 75% 75% +18.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover0.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +4.5% 75% +18.7%
10% -5.5% 50% +7.4%
15% -14.6% 0% -3.0%
20% -23.0% 0% -12.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 89% · top 2 98% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +31% too few recent
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +15% · $-wt +31% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
3.5 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$597 vs −$8 · ×74.18 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×222.53 per $1 lost it wins $222.53
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

52d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,947
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses3 / 1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)4 / 4
History coverage52d
Avg bet$1,427
Trades / day0.7
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 4 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? Jun 19 $63 −$8 -13%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? Jun 12 $345 +$43 +12%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 07 $4,742 +$1,587 +34%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 07 $559 +$161 +29%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? SELL Yes 29¢ $55 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? SELL Yes 71¢ $70 7d
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? BUY Yes 31¢ $1 7d
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? SELL Yes 83¢ $55 7d
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? BUY Yes 31¢ $59 7d
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? BUY Yes 31¢ $2 7d
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? SELL Yes 82¢ $1 7d
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? SELL Yes 82¢ $1 7d
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? SELL Yes 82¢ $1 7d
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? SELL Yes 82¢ $1 7d
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? SELL Yes 82¢ $1 7d
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? SELL Yes 82¢ $1 7d
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? SELL Yes 82¢ $1 7d
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? SELL Yes 82¢ $1 7d
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? SELL Yes 82¢ $1 7d
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? SELL Yes 82¢ $1 7d
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? SELL Yes 82¢ $1 7d
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? SELL Yes 80¢ $61 7d
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? SELL Yes 80¢ $2 7d
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? SELL Yes 80¢ $66 7d
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? SELL Yes 79¢ $125 7d
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? BUY Yes 69¢ $345 9d
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 71¢ $6,302 12d
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 74¢ $28 12d
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 57¢ $720 12d
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 44¢ $62 44d
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 51¢ $92 51d
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 43¢ $362 51d
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 43¢ $40 51d
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 43¢ $1 51d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 47 history records