Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T17:06:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.5
score
0C 0x0c9c…6bb2 crypto 4 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable
Total PnL +$2 (+2%) realized +$2 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +36% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +18% what you keep after slip
Net edge+18%after slip
Net WR75%break-even
Win rate75%3W / 1L
Drawdown96%max
Avg bet$27per market
Trades / day6.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +75%
net ROI/market (all)+23.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +36.3% +23.3% 75% 75% -7.7%
≤30d 4 +36.3% +23.3% 75% 75% -7.7%
≤90d 4 +36.3% +23.3% 75% 75% -7.7%
all 4 +36.3% +23.3% 75% 75% -7.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover6.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +23.3% 75% -7.7%
10% +11.5% 75% -16.5%
15% +0.7% 75% -24.6%
20% -9.1% 50% -32.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 55% · top 2 96% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% too few recent
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +36% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$18 vs −$52 · ×0.35 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.04 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses3 / 1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)4 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day6.0
Drawdown96%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 4 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 23 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 23 $26 +$30 +115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 23 $26 +$22 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 23 $5 +$2 +44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $56 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 10 history records