Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:33:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0C
0x0cb3…1fe1
crypto · 1749 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$170 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$165 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$9
Realized−$165
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses1466 / 280
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1746 / 1749
History coverage4d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day497.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 3 History 1746 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$59
7 days−$165
14 days−$165
30 days−$165
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 81¢ 63¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-22%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 85¢ 60¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-30%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 83¢ 46¢ $4 $2 −$2 (-44%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +26%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +13%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +26%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +15%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +18%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% −$68
other 13% −$102
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 0m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 15m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 19m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 25m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 30m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 45m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)-11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1746 -2.2% -11.6% 84% 61% -11.5%
≤30d 1746 -2.2% -11.6% 84% 61% -11.5%
≤90d 1746 -2.2% -11.6% 84% 61% -11.5%
all 1746 -2.2% -11.6% 84% 61% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover497.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.6% 61% -11.5%
10% ← realistic here -20.0% 14% -20.0%
15% -27.7% 2% -27.7%
20% -34.8% 0% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.65 · official $10.83 · 3500 history records