trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 22 | +3.6% | -6.3% | 23% | 23% | -11.9% |
| ≤30d | 22 | +3.6% | -6.3% | 23% | 23% | -11.9% |
| ≤90d | 22 | +3.6% | -6.3% | 23% | 23% | -11.9% |
| all | 22 | +3.6% | -6.3% | 23% | 23% | -11.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.3% | 23% | -11.9% |
| 10% | -15.3% | 23% | -20.4% |
| 15% | -23.4% | 23% | -28.0% |
| 20% | -31.0% | 23% | -35.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 19¢ | 19¢ | $40 | $40 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 21? | Yes | 15¢ | 14¢ | $40 | $36 | −$4 (-10%) |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 21? | Yes | 28¢ | 26¢ | $30 | $28 | −$2 (-8%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 19? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $30 | $0 | −$30 (-99%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 19? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $6 | $0 | −$6 (-96%) |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 19? | Yes | 13¢ | 0¢ | $15 | $0 | −$15 (-99%) |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 19? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-94%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 19? | Jun 20 | $5 | −$5 | -93% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 20? | Jun 20 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 20? | Jun 20 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 19? | Jun 20 | $36 | −$23 | -63% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on June 20? | Jun 20 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 19? | Jun 20 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on June 19 | Jun 20 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 18? | Jun 20 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on June 18? | Jun 20 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 19? | Jun 20 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on June 20? | Jun 20 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 19? | Jun 20 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on June 18? | Jun 20 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on June 18? | Jun 20 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 20? | Jun 20 | $10 | +$19 | +184% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 20? | Jun 20 | $11 | +$65 | +563% |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 19? | Jun 20 | $10 | +$28 | +271% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 19? | Jun 19 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 19? | Jun 19 | $10 | +$52 | +496% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 18? | Jun 18 | $10 | +$14 | +140% |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on June 18? | Jun 18 | $5 | −$5 | -95% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18? | Jun 18 | $26 | −$6 | -24% |