Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:00:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0C
0x0cc2…843b
crypto · 1659 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$302 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$302 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$302
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses981 / 678
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1659 / 1659
History coverage96d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day19.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1659 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$28
7 days−$606
14 days−$606
30 days−$613
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$302
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-14.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 428 -15.6% -23.7% 68% 40% -41.6%
≤30d 652 -11.4% -19.9% 73% 40% -37.9%
≤90d 1609 -7.9% -16.6% 58% 44% -15.2%
all 1659 -5.4% -14.4% 59% 45% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.4% 45% -14.0%
10% -22.6% 37% -22.2%
15% -30.1% 33% -29.8%
20% -36.9% 30% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3069 history records