Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:07:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0C
0x0cc4…d0de
crypto · 333 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$3,590 -35%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,588 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$3,588
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)22%
Wins / losses130 / 455
Open positions1
Markets (closed)585 / 333
History coverage7d
Avg bet$31
Trades / day457.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 585 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,280
7 days−$3,588
14 days−$3,588
30 days−$3,588
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-25%)
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$15 -196%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $130 −$130 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $39 −$39 -100%
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? Jun 12 $117 −$117 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -135%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$330
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-50.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 585 -45.2% -50.5% 22% 17% -33.9%
≤30d 585 -45.2% -50.5% 22% 17% -33.9%
≤90d 585 -45.2% -50.5% 22% 17% -33.9%
all 585 -45.2% -50.5% 22% 17% -33.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover457.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -50.5% 17% -33.9%
10% ← realistic here -55.2% 14% -40.2%
15% -59.5% 11% -46.0%
20% -63.5% 8% -51.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.75 · official $3.75 (match) · 3500 history records