trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +0.4% | -9.2% | 67% | 0% | -9.2% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -0.0% | -9.6% | 55% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -0.0% | -9.6% | 55% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 20 | -1.6% | -11.0% | 55% | 5% | -10.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.0% | 5% | -10.7% |
| 10% | -19.5% | 5% | -19.2% |
| 15% | -27.3% | 5% | -27.0% |
| 20% | -34.4% | 0% | -34.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 19 | $41 | $0 | +1% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 19 | $38 | $0 | -0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $83 | $0 | +0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | Jun 03 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 02 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 01 | $50 | −$2 | -3% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 31 | $42 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 31 | $38 | $0 | +1% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 31 | $48 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | May 31 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | May 30 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 17 | $1 | $0 | -5% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 13 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 30 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Raymond Burke be the next pope? | May 09 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Austria win Eurovision 2025? | Mar 23 | $4 | $0 | -0% |
| Missouri State vs. Illinois State | Mar 05 | $15 | −$11 | -75% |
| Oral Roberts vs. UMKC | Mar 05 | $14 | +$1 | +6% |
| Niagara vs. Saint Peter's | Mar 05 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| FCSB vs. PAOK | Mar 05 | $10 | +$4 | +37% |