Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:54:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0C
0x0cd1…f7b1
crypto · 94 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$33 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$29 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$55
Realized−$29
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses37 / 40
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions16
Markets (closed)77 / 94
History coverage3d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day56.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 16 History 77 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days−$29
14 days−$29
30 days−$29
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Trump attend 2 World Cup matches? Yes 44¢ 30¢ $10 $7 −$3 (-33%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes 45¢ 48¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+6%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score Yes 54¢ 54¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 36¢ 36¢ $5 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 45¢ 46¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+3%)
Will MrBeast say "Donate" or "Donated" during his next YouTube video? Yes 24¢ 50¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+110%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 61¢ 60¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election? Yes 64¢ 56¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-13%)
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match? Yes 10¢ 7¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-30%)
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? Yes 37¢ 26¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-30%)
President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 18¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $15 +$14 +91%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $6 +$3 +45%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $5 +$6 +112%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $5 +$2 +46%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 +$10 +188%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $8 −$8 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $15 −$15 -99%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $8 −$8 -99%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $4 +$4 +107%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $15 +$4 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2 +$4 +172%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $10 +$10 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$5 +509%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $7 +$6 +81%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 39% −$8
sports 38% −$34
other 15% +$21
politics 4% −$5
world 1% $0
weather 1% −$5
tech 1% −$2
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World BUY Yes 10¢ $1 50m
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World BUY Yes 10¢ $1 51m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 99¢ $29 56m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $3 56m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $3 59m
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 2.5 SELL Over 99¢ $9 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 2.5 BUY Over 65¢ $1 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 94¢ $1 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 2.5 BUY Over 68¢ $5 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 53¢ $6 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 74¢ $1 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 73¢ $1 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $2 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $5 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $2 2h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 45¢ $3 3h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $5 3h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $5 5h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 22¢ $1 6h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 99¢ $11 6h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $1 6h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 86¢ $7 7h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 100¢ $15 7h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 58¢ $5 8h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 30¢ $2 9h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 45¢ $1 9h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 68¢ $5 9h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 34¢ $5 9h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 27¢ $2 10h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 18¢ $1 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-23.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 77 -15.9% -23.9% 48% 38% -17.7%
≤30d 77 -15.9% -23.9% 48% 38% -17.7%
≤90d 77 -15.9% -23.9% 48% 38% -17.7%
all 77 -15.9% -23.9% 48% 38% -17.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover56.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.9% 38% -17.7%
10% ← realistic here -31.2% 32% -25.6%
15% -37.8% 27% -32.8%
20% -43.9% 21% -39.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $55.39 · official $59.39 · 197 history records