Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:58:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0C
0x0cd9…eaf3
weather · 103 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$11 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$13 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$25
Realized−$13
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses88 / 13
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)101 / 103
History coverage79d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day2.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 101 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$3
14 days+$6
30 days+$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 15? No 98¢ 98¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 87¢ 88¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on June 14? Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $20 +$1 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 11? Jun 10 $20 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on June 10? Jun 09 $15 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 9? Jun 08 $15 +$1 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 8? Jun 07 $15 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on June 7? Jun 06 $15 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 6? Jun 05 $15 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 5? Jun 03 $14 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 4? Jun 03 $9 +$1 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 3? Jun 03 $8 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 2? Jun 02 $15 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 2? Jun 01 $5 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 1? Jun 01 $15 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 31? May 31 $10 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 30? May 30 $10 $0 +0%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 3 May 30 $2 $0 +11%
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 29? May 29 $10 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 28? May 27 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 19? May 26 $10 +$1 +11%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 18? May 17 $10 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 17? May 16 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 16? May 15 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 15? May 14 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 14? May 13 $11 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 13? May 13 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 12? May 12 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or higher on May 11? May 11 $9 $0 +0%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 10 $1 $0 +34%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 10 $1 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 10? May 10 $10 −$1 -14%
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 10 $1 $0 +15%
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 9? May 09 $10 $0 +0%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner May 09 $1 +$1 +62%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner May 08 $2 $0 +14%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 8? May 08 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 7? May 06 $10 $0 +0%
LoL: Gen.G vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner May 06 $2 $0 +2%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 5°C on May 6? May 06 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 5? May 03 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 4? May 03 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 3? May 02 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 2? May 02 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 26? Apr 27 $7 −$7 -100%
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 25 $1 $0 +14%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 25? Apr 24 $8 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 23? Apr 23 $7 +$1 +8%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Chall Apr 21 $2 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 84% −$3
sports 15% −$11
other 1% $0
tech 0% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 15? BUY No 98¢ $20 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on June 14? SELL No 99¢ $20 5h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on June 14? BUY No 98¢ $20 20h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $20 27h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $20 2d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $21 2d
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 87¢ $5 2d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 12? BUY No 97¢ $20 3d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $20 3d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 11? BUY No 98¢ $20 4d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on June 10? SELL No 96¢ $15 4d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on June 10? BUY No 95¢ $15 5d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 9? SELL No 97¢ $16 6d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 9? BUY No 89¢ $15 6d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 8? SELL No 94¢ $15 6d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 8? BUY No 92¢ $15 7d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on June 7? SELL No 98¢ $15 7d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on June 7? BUY No 96¢ $15 8d
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 6? SELL No 96¢ $15 8d
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 6? BUY No 94¢ $15 9d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 5? SELL No 89¢ $14 10d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 5? BUY No 87¢ $14 10d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 4? SELL No 92¢ $10 10d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 4? BUY No 85¢ $9 11d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 3? SELL No 97¢ $8 11d
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 2? SELL No 99¢ $15 11d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 3? BUY No 94¢ $8 12d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 2? SELL No 83¢ $5 13d
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 2? BUY No 98¢ $15 13d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 2? BUY No 77¢ $5 13d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-12.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +2.5% -7.2% 100% 0% -7.3%
≤30d 25 -1.0% -10.4% 96% 8% -7.5%
≤90d 101 -3.7% -12.9% 87% 26% -11.4%
all 101 -3.7% -12.9% 87% 26% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.9% 26% -11.4%
10% -21.2% 11% -19.9%
15% -28.9% 6% -27.7%
20% -35.8% 3% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $24.99 · official $24.99 (match) · 210 history records