Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:01:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0C
0x0ce3…6011
crypto · 1552 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,419 -19%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$245 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$245
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses1041 / 511
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1552 / 1552
History coverage52d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day41.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1552 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$36
14 days−$34
30 days−$435
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 78¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 73¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 68¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 66¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 65¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 76¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 67¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 70¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 68¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 74¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 69¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 77¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 65¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 77¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 47¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 77¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 78¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 44¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 75¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 74¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Up 77¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 74¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 74¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 62¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 59¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +40%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +36%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +86%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +44%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +44%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +40%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +55%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +34%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +50%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +36%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$245
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 14h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 14h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 16h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 16h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 16h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 18h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 19h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 20h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 21h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 21h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 32h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 33h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 35h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 35h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 36h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 36h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 36h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 37h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 37h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)-13.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 244 -6.3% -15.2% 66% 66% -13.2%
≤30d 1156 -9.8% -18.3% 64% 64% -16.9%
≤90d 1552 -4.3% -13.4% 67% 67% -12.5%
all 1552 -4.3% -13.4% 67% 67% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover41.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.4% 67% -12.5%
10% ← realistic here -21.7% 66% -20.9%
15% -29.3% 44% -28.5%
20% -36.2% 11% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records