Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:08:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0C
0x0ceb…a38a
crypto · 30 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$60 -31%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$60 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$60
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses17 / 13
Open positions0
Markets (closed)30 / 30
History coverage1d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day63.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 30 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$60
7 days−$60
14 days−$60
30 days−$60
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$7 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$20 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -92%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$60
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $8 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $6 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $21 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $21 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 69¢ $28 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $19 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Down 16¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Up 6¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Down 66¢ $6 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $4 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Down 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-28.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 -21.4% -28.9% 57% 33% -41.4%
≤30d 30 -21.4% -28.9% 57% 33% -41.4%
≤90d 30 -21.4% -28.9% 57% 33% -41.4%
all 30 -21.4% -28.9% 57% 33% -41.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover63.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -28.9% 33% -41.4%
10% ← realistic here -35.7% 20% -47.0%
15% -41.9% 10% -52.2%
20% -47.6% 7% -56.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 67 history records