trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +2.9% | -6.9% | 100% | 0% | -6.9% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +2.9% | -6.9% | 100% | 0% | -6.9% |
| ≤90d | 5 | +2.2% | -7.5% | 100% | 0% | -7.5% |
| all | 12 | +1.2% | -8.4% | 100% | 0% | -8.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.4% | 0% | -8.4% |
| 10% | -17.2% | 0% | -17.2% |
| 15% | -25.2% | 0% | -25.2% |
| 20% | -32.5% | 0% | -32.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | Yes | 99¢ | 99¢ | $175 | $175 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 21 | $165 | +$5 | +3% |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 20 | $165 | +$5 | +3% |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | Apr 27 | $163 | +$2 | +1% |
| EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch? | Apr 07 | $163 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Backpack launch a token on March 23? | Mar 26 | $157 | +$6 | +4% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Mar 23 | $157 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February? | Mar 01 | $157 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #1 Free App in the US Apple App | Feb 20 | $156 | +$1 | +0% |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | Feb 05 | $156 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire be #1 Free App in the US Apple App | Jan 31 | $155 | $0 | +0% |
| Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Jan 27 | $152 | +$3 | +2% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 16? | Jan 18 | $152 | $0 | +0% |