Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T19:15:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0C 0x0cf2…ba52 crypto 699 markets active 18h ago coverage 47d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 46d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (60 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$18,812 (+28%) realized +$18,812 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR43%break-even
Win rate48%334W / 365L
Drawdown36%max
Avg bet$96per market
Trades / day60.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 47d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$3,783
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (60 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 150 -4.8% -13.9% 52% 49% -10.8%
≤30d 336 +6.1% -4.0% 51% 49% -1.2%
≤90d 699 -0.0% -9.5% 48% 43% -4.4%
all 699 -0.0% -9.5% 48% 43% -4.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover60.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 43% -4.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 41% -13.6%
15% -26.1% 37% -21.9%
20% -33.3% 31% -29.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +6% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
9% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt +6% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late +3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
4.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$75 vs −$58 · ×1.29 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.18 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

47d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$18,812
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses334 / 365
Open positions0
Markets (closed)699 / 699
History coverage47d ⚠
Avg bet$96
Trades / day60.0
Drawdown36%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 699 Trades
no open positions (35 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 18 $200 −$194 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 18 $20 −$19 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 18 $13 −$12 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 18 $24 −$22 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$8 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $56 −$55 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 17 $131 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $129 −$125 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 17 $112 −$108 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 17 $37 −$34 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $92 +$37 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 17 $88 +$91 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $243 −$15 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $135 +$101 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 17 $45 +$26 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $255 −$249 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 17 $40 −$39 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 17 $168 +$48 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $210 +$98 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 17 $151 +$59 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 16 $54 −$51 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $35 +$43 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 16 $88 +$51 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 16 $40 +$13 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $9 −$9 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 16 $42 −$40 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $40 −$37 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 16 $45 +$30 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 16 $171 +$56 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 16 $79 +$30 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 16 $70 +$45 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 16 $58 +$27 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 16 $183 −$179 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 16 $126 +$63 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 16 $25 −$23 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 16 $213 −$208 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 16 $18 +$8 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $64 +$50 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 16 $131 +$61 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 16 $9 −$8 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $114 +$172 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 15 $13 −$13 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 15 $78 −$76 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 15 $112 +$35 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $115 −$111 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $24 −$23 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 15 $157 −$153 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$9 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $67 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $134 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $16 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $13 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $7 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $17 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $9 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $56 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $50 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $11 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $23 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $46 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $129 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $112 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $10 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $3 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $3 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $3 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $3 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $4 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $11 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $8 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $35 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $56 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $3 39h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records