Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:51:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0D
0x0d03…d567
sports · 173 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$662 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$657 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$135
Realized−$657
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses85 / 84
Est. fees paid−$170
Open positions4
Markets (closed)169 / 173
History coverage60d
Avg bet$54
Trades / day5.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 4 History 169 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days−$16
14 days−$44
30 days−$913
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 46¢ 46¢ $50 $51 +$1 (+1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Over 67¢ 66¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Under 63¢ 62¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 5.5 Corners Over 41¢ 34¢ $30 $25 −$5 (-16%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner Aurora 37¢ 0¢ $86 $0 −$86 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner Aurora Gaming 10¢ 0¢ $107 $0 −$107 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime (BO1) - DreamLeague Group B Xtreme Gaming 54¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winner G2 19¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner Team Falcons 58¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs Legacy 53¢ 0¢ $216 $0 −$216 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner B8 14¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Tundra Esports 41¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs Tundra Esports 14¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner Tundra Esports 59¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B Tundra Esports 45¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner Tundra Esports 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner PARIVISION 66¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ (BO3) - 1win Essence Decider Stage MOUZ 63¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic - Map 1 Winner Gentle Mates 28¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner Xtreme Gaming 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner BetBoom Team 69¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner Tundra Esports 61¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner Tundra Esports 65¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 69¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $101 +$39 +38%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $51 −$5 -11%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $51 −$50 -99%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $58 +$24 +41%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $10 −$8 -78%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $20 −$18 -86%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $30 +$31 +103%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $10 −$10 -99%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $20 −$19 -96%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $20 −$19 -95%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $20 −$7 -35%
Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX (BO5) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Clos Jun 05 $20 −$10 -51%
Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX - Game 4 Winner Jun 05 $20 +$9 +46%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 22 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET May 21 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET May 21 $14 +$11 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET May 21 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET May 21 $10 +$5 +45%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs May 21 $178 −$168 -94%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner May 21 $51 −$50 -99%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner May 21 $51 +$26 +51%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs May 21 $77 −$73 -95%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner May 21 $53 −$25 -48%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs May 20 $66 −$40 -60%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 20 $66 +$51 +78%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 20 $113 +$24 +21%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs May 20 $88 +$40 +45%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 20 $51 −$50 -99%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 20 $51 +$32 +63%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs May 20 $51 +$36 +71%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner May 20 $153 +$66 +43%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner May 20 $101 −$100 -99%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner May 19 $335 +$20 +6%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner May 19 $51 −$46 -90%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner May 19 $260 −$100 -39%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner May 19 $51 +$43 +84%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner May 19 $51 −$51 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner May 19 $51 −$47 -94%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner May 19 $51 −$50 -98%
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - DreamLeague Group B May 18 $51 +$46 +91%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime (BO1) - DreamLeague Group B May 18 $51 −$50 -99%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B May 17 $58 +$35 +62%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner May 17 $51 +$44 +86%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winner May 17 $51 −$31 -61%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner May 17 $51 −$39 -76%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner May 17 $51 +$47 +91%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner May 17 $51 +$25 +49%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 17 $51 +$45 +88%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner May 17 $51 +$35 +69%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B May 16 $51 +$6 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$663
other 1% +$7
crypto 1% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 5.5 Corners BUY Over 41¢ $31 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 63¢ $30 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 67¢ $30 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $51 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 99¢ $139 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 71¢ $101 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 54¢ $45 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 59¢ $51 5h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 59¢ $51 25h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $82 25h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $58 30h
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL LGD Gaming 7¢ $2 6d
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY LGD Gaming 30¢ $10 6d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs SELL BetBoom Team 7¢ $3 6d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY BetBoom Team 49¢ $20 6d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Yandex 95¢ $62 6d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Yandex 46¢ $30 6d
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY paiN 53¢ $10 6d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner SELL Team Yandex 2¢ $1 6d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Yandex 55¢ $20 6d
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Falcons 2¢ $1 7d
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 38¢ $20 7d
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner SELL Aurora 38¢ $13 7d
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner BUY Aurora 57¢ $20 7d
Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX (BO5) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Clos SELL GLYPH 30¢ $10 7d
Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX (BO5) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Clos BUY GLYPH 59¢ $20 7d
Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX - Game 4 Winner SELL GLYPH 99¢ $30 7d
Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX - Game 4 Winner BUY GLYPH 67¢ $20 7d
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Xtreme Gaming 58¢ $1 21d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $1 22d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-15.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -32.0% -38.5% 33% 33% -13.8%
≤30d 78 -19.9% -27.5% 45% 42% -26.3%
≤90d 169 -7.0% -15.9% 50% 48% -16.2%
all 169 -7.0% -15.9% 50% 48% -16.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.9% 48% -16.2%
10% -23.9% 45% -24.2%
15% -31.3% 41% -31.5%
20% -38.0% 33% -38.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $135.32 · official $135.33 (match) · 353 history records