Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:09:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0D
0x0d0c…a5c9
crypto · 499 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$116 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$123 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$123
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses232 / 267
Open positions0
Markets (closed)499 / 499
History coverage56d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day27.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 499 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$26
7 days+$26
14 days+$26
30 days+$26
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$9 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$4 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$8 -72%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$3 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$9 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$4 -39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$3 -24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$2 -20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$10 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$18 +159%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$6 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$5 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$2 -20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$2 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$3 -28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$3 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$2 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$2 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$2 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$46 +400%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$3 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$17 +231%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$6 -56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$5 -42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$8 -72%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$2 -14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$11 -49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$3 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$7 +65%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$123
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $6 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $4 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $12 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $21 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $11 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $11 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $11 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 11¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 41¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Down 10¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $9 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 86¢ $8 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $11 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 66 +6.9% -3.3% 39% 24% -6.6%
≤30d 66 +6.9% -3.3% 39% 24% -6.6%
≤90d 499 -0.9% -10.3% 46% 31% -11.6%
all 499 -0.9% -10.3% 46% 31% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.3% 31% -11.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 20% -20.1%
15% -26.7% 10% -27.8%
20% -33.9% 5% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1591 history records