Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:38:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0D
0x0d18…24a6
crypto · 227 markets active 118d ago
0.0score
+$427,225 +353%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$22,840 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$22,840
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses120 / 107
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)227 / 227
History coverage5d
Avg bet$533
Trades / day294.4
Drawdown72%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 227 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - February 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $322 $0 −$322 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $371 $0 −$371 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $662 $0 −$662 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $173 $0 −$173 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $209 $0 −$209 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - February 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $134 $0 −$134 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - February 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $719 $0 −$719 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - February 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $118 $0 −$118 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - February 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $177 $0 −$177 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - February 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $702 $0 −$702 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $262 $0 −$262 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - February 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - February 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - February 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - February 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $87 $0 −$87 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - February 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - February 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Feb 16 $0 $0 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Feb 16 $242 −$103 -42%
XRP Up or Down - February 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Feb 16 $70 −$66 -94%
Solana Up or Down - February 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Feb 16 $5 +$4 +93%
XRP Up or Down - February 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Feb 16 $8 +$8 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Feb 16 $156 +$184 +117%
XRP Up or Down - February 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Feb 16 $177 +$186 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Feb 16 $221 +$192 +86%
XRP Up or Down - February 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Feb 16 $297 +$240 +81%
Solana Up or Down - February 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Feb 16 $335 +$314 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Feb 16 $340 +$327 +96%
Solana Up or Down - February 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Feb 16 $502 +$387 +77%
XRP Up or Down - February 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Feb 16 $558 +$470 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Feb 16 $676 +$606 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Feb 16 $3,310 +$2,741 +83%
XRP Up or Down - February 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Feb 16 $8 +$10 +117%
Solana Up or Down - February 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Feb 16 $21 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Feb 16 $15 +$14 +94%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Feb 16 $22 +$20 +89%
Solana Up or Down - February 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Feb 16 $45 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - February 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Feb 16 $46 +$42 +92%
Solana Up or Down - February 16, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Feb 16 $49 +$46 +94%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Feb 16 $82 +$68 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Feb 16 $122 +$109 +89%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Feb 16 $179 +$152 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Feb 16 $831 −$829 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Feb 16 $758 −$758 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Feb 16 $135 −$134 -99%
XRP Up or Down - February 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Feb 16 $22 −$22 -98%
Solana Up or Down - February 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Feb 16 $173 −$173 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Feb 16 $120 −$118 -98%
Solana Up or Down - February 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Feb 16 $210 −$209 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Feb 16 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Feb 16 $75 −$75 -99%
Solana Up or Down - February 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Feb 16 $19 −$19 -98%
XRP Up or Down - February 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Feb 16 $24 −$23 -99%
XRP Up or Down - February 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Feb 14 $1 +$1 +86%
XRP Up or Down - February 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Feb 14 $2 +$2 +100%
XRP Up or Down - February 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Feb 14 $4 +$2 +48%
XRP Up or Down - February 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Feb 14 $24 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - February 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Feb 14 $40 −$16 -39%
Solana Up or Down - February 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Feb 14 $28 −$3 -11%
Solana Up or Down - February 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Feb 14 $20 +$19 +92%
XRP Up or Down - February 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Feb 14 $29 +$28 +95%
Solana Up or Down - February 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Feb 14 $36 +$35 +97%
Solana Up or Down - February 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Feb 14 $48 +$43 +89%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Feb 14 $154 −$47 -31%
Solana Up or Down - February 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Feb 14 $66 +$60 +91%
XRP Up or Down - February 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Feb 14 $73 +$62 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Feb 14 $69 +$67 +97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$22,840
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $4 117d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 117d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 117d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 117d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $51 117d
Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 117d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $7 117d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $26 117d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 117d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 117d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 117d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 117d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $101 117d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 117d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $16 117d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $9 117d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 117d
Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $621 117d
Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $26 117d
Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $131 117d
Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $28 117d
Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 117d
XRP Up or Down - February 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $0 117d
Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 117d
Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $19 117d
Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $156 117d
Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $172 117d
Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 117d
Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $46 117d
Solana Up or Down - February 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 117d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-6.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d no closed markets
all 227 +3.6% -6.2% 53% 48% +7.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover294.4 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.2% 48% +7.6%
10% -15.2% 48% -2.7%
15% ← realistic here -23.4% 48% -12.1%
20% -30.9% 46% -20.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records