Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:45:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0D
0x0d2b…510e
sports · 11 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$177 +119%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$174 · open +$20
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$115
Realized+$174
Unrealized+$20
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses5 / 3
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions3
Markets (closed)8 / 11
History coverage1d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day8.5
Drawdown15%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 3 History 8 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$174
7 days+$174
14 days+$174
30 days+$174
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in First Half Yes 12¢ 100¢ $5 $42 +$37 (+733%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 1.5 Over 15¢ 47¢ $10 $31 +$21 (+213%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao 1st Half O/U 0.5 Over 13¢ 100¢ $3 $23 +$20 (+669%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 0.5 Over 37¢ 56¢ $10 $15 +$5 (+51%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in First Half Yes 21¢ 8¢ $10 $4 −$6 (-64%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 14 $5 +$37 +711%
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $3 +$20 +649%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $10 +$45 +440%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $41 +$20 +49%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 14 $21 +$91 +440%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 85% +$162
other 15% +$33
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 37¢ $10 47m
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 15¢ $10 57m
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY Yes 21¢ $10 58m
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY Yes 12¢ $5 4h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 13¢ $3 4h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 18¢ $10 19h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 BUY Over 21¢ $21 21h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 5¢ $5 23h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY Yes 18¢ $21 23h
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 66¢ $41 23h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $12 31h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +62%
net ROI/market (all)+220.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 +253.9% +220.2% 62% 62% +124.6%
≤30d 8 +253.9% +220.2% 62% 62% +124.6%
≤90d 8 +253.9% +220.2% 62% 62% +124.6%
all 8 +253.9% +220.2% 62% 62% +124.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +220.2% 62% +124.6%
10% +189.5% 62% +103.1%
15% +161.6% 62% +83.5%
20% +135.9% 50% +65.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $114.78 · official $114.78 (match) · 17 history records