Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:35:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0D
0x0d2d…7ff5
sports · 235 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$11,254 +20%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5,774 · open +$3,658
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Chart Positions 491 History 88 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5,774
7 days+$5,774
14 days+$5,774
30 days+$5,774
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 50¢ 52¢ $1,791 $1,852 +$61 (+3%)
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Karmine Corp Blue 68¢ 79¢ $751 $869 +$118 (+16%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 36¢ 36¢ $859 $842 −$17 (-2%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 52¢ $774 $771 −$2 (-0%)
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Nuno Borges 79¢ 81¢ $713 $731 +$18 (+3%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jacob Fearnley 66¢ 62¢ $770 $730 −$40 (-5%)
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Alex de Minaur 77¢ 78¢ $704 $708 +$3 (+0%)
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? No 89¢ 90¢ $647 $654 +$7 (+1%)
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Yes 80¢ $24 $621 +$597 (+2476%)
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida 80¢ 82¢ $572 $590 +$18 (+3%)
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Daniil Medvedev 84¢ 82¢ $532 $520 −$12 (-2%)
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) New York Mets 61¢ 62¢ $506 $516 +$9 (+2%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 55¢ 44¢ $653 $513 −$140 (-21%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 81¢ $34 $512 +$478 (+1399%)
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jack Pinnington Jones 69¢ 69¢ $412 $415 +$3 (+1%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Alexander Bublik 62¢ 64¢ $382 $392 +$9 (+2%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals 50¢ 36¢ $500 $360 −$140 (-28%)
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan India 86¢ 86¢ $354 $357 +$3 (+1%)
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5 Under 32¢ 36¢ $307 $350 +$43 (+14%)
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 50¢ $21 $346 +$325 (+1516%)
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5) Atlanta Braves 69¢ 68¢ $336 $329 −$7 (-2%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 Over 50¢ 54¢ $302 $325 +$23 (+8%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5 Over 49¢ 67¢ $234 $322 +$88 (+37%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 88¢ 88¢ $321 $318 −$3 (-1%)
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Dusan Lajovic 45¢ 57¢ $248 $314 +$66 (+27%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 12 $774 +$108 +14%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,085 −$588 -54%
ITF Varnamo: Henry Bernet vs Noah Schlagenhauf Jun 12 $68 +$12 +17%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse Jun 12 $90 −$42 -46%
ITF Guimaraes: Ariana Arseneault vs Katarina Kuzmova Jun 12 $46 +$3 +8%
ITF kiseljak: Vladyslav Orlov vs Alen Mujakic Jun 12 $92 +$19 +21%
ITF Varnamo: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Aristotelis Thanos Jun 12 $1 +$28 +3233%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $1,997 −$195 -10%
ITF Kayseri: Mandegar Farzami vs Semra Aksu Jun 12 $145 +$12 +8%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $442 +$123 +28%
ITF Hurghada: Valentina Ryser vs Gabriela Andrea Knutson Jun 12 $16 +$13 +86%
ITF Hurghada: Anastasia Tikhonova vs Sandra Samir Jun 12 $56 +$4 +8%
ITF kiseljak: Matias Ponce De Leon Gomila vs Kirill Kivattsev Jun 12 $28 +$22 +82%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Mia Horvit vs Emma Ottavia Ghirardato Jun 12 $67 +$34 +50%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $32 −$25 -78%
ITF Kayseri: Volodymyr Iakubenko vs Maxwell Mckennon Jun 12 $41 +$8 +20%
ITF Kayseri: Sofiia Bielinska vs Lan Mi Jun 12 $43 +$5 +11%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Marie Mettraux vs Anja Stankovic Jun 12 $155 −$116 -75%
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubka Jun 12 $361 +$68 +19%
ITF Tokyo: Kayo Nishimura vs Mao Mushika Jun 12 $123 −$17 -14%
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Sara Milanese Jun 12 $605 +$23 +4%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 12 $16 −$11 -65%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $99 −$5 -5%
ITF Tokyo: Eri Shimizu vs Mayuka Aikawa Jun 12 $57 −$8 -14%
ITF Maanshan: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Thanapet Chanta Jun 12 $212 +$27 +13%
ITF Wuning: Mei Yamaguchi vs Zongyu Li Jun 12 $168 −$13 -8%
ITF Maanshan: Dong Ju Kim vs Matthew Dellavedova Jun 12 $93 +$33 +35%
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 12 $2,868 +$446 +16%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $57 +$268 +468%
ITF Tokyo: Naoya Honda vs Taisei Ichikawa Jun 12 $18 −$6 -32%
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Kosuke Ogura Jun 12 $83 −$13 -15%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) Jun 12 $31 +$49 +158%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $30 +$10 +32%
ITF Maanshan: Hanyi Liu vs Kokoro Isomura Jun 12 $26 −$23 -91%
ITF Maanshan: Uisung Park vs Chan-Yeong Oh Jun 12 $10 +$39 +392%
ITF Tokyo: Ikumi Yamazaki vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Jun 12 $43 +$60 +138%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $14 +$193 +1342%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $3 +$11 +360%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $12 +$405 +3440%
Gimnasia vs. Quimsa Jun 12 $446 +$321 +72%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $64 +$12 +19%
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Yuno Kitahara Jun 12 $163 +$62 +38%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $6 +$3 +59%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $24 −$10 -41%
ITF Tokyo: Jake Delaney vs Alan Magadan Jun 12 $95 +$18 +19%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $23 $0 -0%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $1,183 +$556 +47%
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) Jun 12 $286 +$28 +10%
Spread: Hurricanes (-2.5) Jun 12 $246 +$84 +34%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $1,830 −$109 -6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 69% +$5,841
other 31% +$3,591
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 28¢ $17 0m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 66¢ $22 0m
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Oriol Roca Batalla 35¢ $1 0m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ $3 0m
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa BUY Katarzyna Kawa 82¢ $4 1m
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Oriol Roca Batalla 37¢ $35 1m
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Oriol Roca Batalla 36¢ $3 1m
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Oriol Roca Batalla 37¢ $2 1m
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Tristan Boyer 73¢ $45 1m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 63¢ $3 1m
BC Zenit vs. Lokomotiv Kuban SELL Lokomotiv Kuban 80¢ $60 2m
BC Zenit vs. Lokomotiv Kuban SELL Lokomotiv Kuban 79¢ $22 2m
BC Zenit vs. Lokomotiv Kuban BUY BC Zenit 21¢ $5 2m
BC Zenit vs. Lokomotiv Kuban SELL Lokomotiv Kuban 78¢ $23 2m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $8 2m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $15 2m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 25¢ $2 2m
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva BUY Maxim Mrva $1 3m
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla SELL Oriol Roca Batalla 47¢ $10 3m
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva BUY Maxim Mrva $4 3m
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa BUY Dominika Salkova 18¢ $1 3m
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 27¢ $1 4m
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard SELL Daniil Medvedev 86¢ $29 4m
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Thijs Boogaard 14¢ $14 4m
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Daniil Medvedev 84¢ $84 4m
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Daniil Medvedev 83¢ $145 5m
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Daniil Medvedev 84¢ $84 5m
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Oriol Roca Batalla 59¢ $7 5m
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Oriol Roca Batalla 59¢ $14 5m
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa BUY Katarzyna Kawa 77¢ $3 5m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)+100.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 88 +122.0% +100.9% 68% 56% +5.0%
≤30d 88 +122.0% +100.9% 68% 56% +5.0%
≤90d 88 +122.0% +100.9% 68% 56% +5.0%
all 88 +122.0% +100.9% 68% 56% +5.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3184.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +100.9% 56% +5.0%
10% ← realistic here +81.7% 42% -5.0%
15% +64.1% 36% -14.2%
20% +48.0% 32% -22.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $42,788.62 · official $44,133.85 · 3500 history records