trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Canada (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $53 | +$3 | +6% |
| Spread: Czechia (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $49 | +$4 | +8% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $35 | +$14 | +41% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June? | Jun 11 | $33 | +$2 | +5% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET | Jun 05 | $15 | +$3 | +18% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May? | Jun 02 | $23 | +$7 | +30% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | May 22 | $500 | −$477 | -95% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +15.2% | +4.2% | 100% | 25% | +2.9% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +1.9% | -7.8% | 86% | 43% | -66.1% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +1.9% | -7.8% | 86% | 43% | -66.1% |
| all | 7 | +1.9% | -7.8% | 86% | 43% | -66.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.8% | 43% | -66.1% |
| 10% | -16.6% | 29% | -69.3% |
| 15% | -24.7% | 14% | -72.3% |
| 20% | -32.0% | 0% | -75.0% |