trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -3.2% | -12.5% | 0% | 0% | -10.1% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -1.6% | -11.0% | 0% | 0% | -9.9% |
| all | 25 | -1.6% | -11.0% | 0% | 0% | -9.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.0% | 0% | -9.9% |
| 10% | -19.5% | 0% | -18.5% |
| 15% | -27.3% | 0% | -26.4% |
| 20% | -34.4% | 0% | -33.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 19 | $803 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 17 | $804 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 14 | $805 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 12 | $806 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 09 | $1,692 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 04 | $809 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 02 | $1,682 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 31 | $817 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 28 | $163 | −$61 | -37% |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 24 | $876 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 22 | $875 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 20 | $1,766 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 18 | $1,764 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 16 | $878 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 14 | $881 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 12 | $879 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 06 | $885 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 02 | $783 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 30 | $891 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 28 | $897 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 mee | Apr 26 | $897 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 24 | $1,798 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 22 | $898 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 20 | $899 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 16 | $901 | −$1 | -0% |