Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:47:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0D
0x0d5c…e108
crypto · 1719 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$189 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$189 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$189
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses1596 / 144
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1740 / 1719
History coverage23d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day79.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1740 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$346
7 days−$150
14 days−$398
30 days−$189
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $50 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $50 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $50 +$3 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $50 +$2 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $50 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $101 −$42 -42%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $50 +$2 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $50 +$6 +11%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $101 −$43 -43%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$2 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $102 −$48 -47%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$17 +34%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$5 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$5 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$4 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$2 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$3 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$15 +29%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$13 +25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$69
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 12m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 17m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 27m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $50 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $50 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $50 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $50 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $50 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $50 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $50 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $50 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $50 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $52 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $51 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $50 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $50 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $50 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $50 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $50 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $51 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-8.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 656 +0.3% -9.3% 86% 20% -10.2%
≤30d 1740 +1.4% -8.3% 92% 14% -9.9%
≤90d 1740 +1.4% -8.3% 92% 14% -9.9%
all 1740 +1.4% -8.3% 92% 14% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover79.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.3% 14% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -17.0% 9% -18.6%
15% -25.1% 4% -26.4%
20% -32.4% 2% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records