Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:27:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0D
0x0d5f…1171
sports · 857 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,948 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,969 · open +$30
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$8,725
Realized−$2,969
Unrealized+$30
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses551 / 212
Whale WR (big bets)43%
Est. fees paid−$247
Open positions100
Markets (closed)763 / 857
History coverage7d
Avg bet$50
Trades / day363.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 100 History 763 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,142
7 days−$2,969
14 days−$2,969
30 days−$2,969
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 48¢ 46¢ $911 $866 −$45 (-5%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? No 98¢ 98¢ $746 $747 +$1 (+0%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Qatar 42¢ 44¢ $526 $543 +$17 (+3%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 53¢ 55¢ $487 $502 +$15 (+3%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Under 42¢ 44¢ $413 $433 +$20 (+5%)
Spread: United States (-1.5) Paraguay 78¢ 78¢ $336 $334 −$3 (-1%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 52¢ 50¢ $310 $299 −$12 (-4%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? No 48¢ 50¢ $278 $289 +$11 (+4%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 47¢ 48¢ $237 $240 +$3 (+1%)
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Switzerland 31¢ 30¢ $233 $228 −$5 (-2%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $216 $215 −$1 (-0%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $199 $200 +$1 (+1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 53¢ 55¢ $169 $173 +$5 (+3%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Under 58¢ 36¢ $276 $169 −$107 (-39%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 84¢ 84¢ $166 $165 −$1 (-1%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $165 $164 −$1 (-1%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? No 95¢ 96¢ $158 $160 +$2 (+1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? No 53¢ 52¢ $127 $126 −$1 (-1%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? No 77¢ 76¢ $125 $124 −$0 (-0%)
Spread: United States (-2.5) Paraguay 93¢ 92¢ $112 $112 −$0 (-0%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 23¢ 24¢ $92 $93 +$1 (+1%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? No 89¢ 88¢ $90 $90 −$1 (-1%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? No 94¢ 94¢ $89 $90 +$1 (+1%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 52¢ $88 $88 +$1 (+1%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Germany 47¢ 48¢ $83 $85 +$3 (+3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet Jun 12 $12 +$2 +20%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $136 +$6 +5%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $49 +$28 +58%
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 12 $43 +$1 +2%
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 12 $43 −$43 -100%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $66 $0 +0%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $95 −$66 -70%
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 12 $14 +$1 +5%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 12 $69 −$25 -36%
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel Jun 12 $6 +$2 +42%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $47 +$13 +27%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $104 +$4 +4%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $61 +$18 +29%
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Jun 12 $17 −$10 -57%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Jun 12 $14 +$12 +83%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $5 +$4 +75%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $155 +$20 +13%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $6 +$11 +186%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $134 −$12 -9%
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 12 $64 +$8 +12%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $230 +$8 +4%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $136 −$6 -5%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $20 +$1 +4%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $173 −$4 -2%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $124 −$6 -5%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $50 +$2 +3%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $113 +$26 +23%
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Sara Milanese Jun 12 $132 −$1 -1%
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito Jun 12 $65 −$12 -19%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2,030 −$1,842 -91%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $450 −$223 -50%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $796 −$443 -56%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $49 +$3 +7%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +97%
Bratislava: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Chun-Hsin Tseng Jun 12 $5 −$1 -27%
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 12 $5 +$2 +49%
Will Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 −$2 -18%
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $8 +$2 +24%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Belinda Bencic Jun 12 $13 $0 -3%
Will Cambodia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 12 $43 +$5 +11%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-1.5) Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5) Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 72% −$1,090
other 27% −$1,848
crypto 1% −$1
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5 BUY Over 42¢ $0 4m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5 BUY Over 42¢ $47 4m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 2.5 BUY Over 17¢ $8 4m
Canada leading at halftime? BUY No 96¢ $50 4m
Spread: Canada (-1.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 75¢ $7 9m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 98¢ $11 9m
Canada leading at halftime? BUY Yes 32¢ $10 9m
Canada leading at halftime? BUY No 69¢ $8 9m
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $33 9m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 32¢ $11 9m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 51¢ $47 9m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 59¢ $61 9m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 49¢ $5 11m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 51¢ $42 14m
Canada leading at halftime? BUY Yes 33¢ $19 14m
Spread: Paraguay (-2.5) BUY United States 98¢ $5 14m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $7 14m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 48¢ $37 19m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 41¢ $13 19m
Spread: Canada (-1.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 75¢ $5 19m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $77 19m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 57¢ $47 19m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 48¢ $17 24m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 82¢ $6 25m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 57¢ $10 25m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 57¢ $9 30m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 48¢ $113 30m
Canada leading at halftime? BUY No 64¢ $14 30m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $10 35m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 43¢ $5 35m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-6.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 763 +3.3% -6.5% 72% 44% -17.5%
≤30d 763 +3.3% -6.5% 72% 44% -17.5%
≤90d 763 +3.3% -6.5% 72% 44% -17.5%
all 763 +3.3% -6.5% 72% 44% -17.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover363.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.5% 44% -17.5%
10% ← realistic here -15.5% 29% -25.4%
15% -23.6% 19% -32.6%
20% -31.1% 14% -39.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8,724.93 · official $8,816.10 · 3500 history records