Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:38:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0D
0x0d61…ffe8
crypto · 102 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$11 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12
Realized−$8
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses28 / 62
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions12
Markets (closed)90 / 102
History coverage6d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day33.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 12 History 90 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$8
14 days−$8
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 51¢ 50¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-2%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 13? Yes 33¢ 32¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-5%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 14? Yes 4¢ 6¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+30%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 14? Yes 8¢ 9¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+12%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 13? Yes 2¢ 3¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+37%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 13? Yes 7¢ 6¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-21%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 13? Yes 11¢ 8¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-32%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 14? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-45%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 13? Yes 4¢ 2¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-37%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 13? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-85%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 12? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-98%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 12? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 5.5 Over 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$6 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 14? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -74%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 14? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -82%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 14? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -70%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -6%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$1 -14%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -8%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 -5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$1 -10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$7 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 -2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$1 -11%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 14? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -60%
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 14? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -7%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$1 -8%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$6 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -8%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -6%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$1 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -8%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -4%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +90%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$5 +146%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 13? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -62%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$3 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$4 +90%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% +$1
weather 3% −$10
sports 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $7 13m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 14? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 14m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 14? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 15m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 16m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 14? SELL Yes 4¢ $0 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $4 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $4 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $4 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $4 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 4h
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 14? SELL Yes 4¢ $0 5h
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 14? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-26.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 90 -18.7% -26.5% 31% 26% -10.6%
≤30d 90 -18.7% -26.5% 31% 26% -10.6%
≤90d 90 -18.7% -26.5% 31% 26% -10.6%
all 90 -18.7% -26.5% 31% 26% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover33.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.5% 26% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -33.5% 23% -19.1%
15% -39.9% 21% -26.9%
20% -45.8% 17% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.92 · official $11.73 (match) · 241 history records