Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:52:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0D
0x0d79…5a4c
crypto · 1147 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$226 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$379 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$379
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses666 / 482
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1148 / 1147
History coverage73d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day33.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1148 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$73
7 days−$77
14 days−$79
30 days−$137
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? Yes 47¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? Jun 14 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$13 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 10 $12 +$3 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 10 $6 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 09 $4 −$2 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 08 $3 −$2 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 08 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$322
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $4 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $4 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 13¢ $1 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET SELL Down 78¢ $4 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 40h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-27.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 52 -9.8% -18.4% 63% 13% -30.7%
≤30d 261 -16.5% -24.4% 57% 29% -19.9%
≤90d 1148 -19.8% -27.4% 58% 22% -16.7%
all 1148 -19.8% -27.4% 58% 22% -16.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover33.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.4% 22% -16.7%
10% ← realistic here -34.4% 9% -24.7%
15% -40.7% 3% -32.0%
20% -46.5% 2% -38.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records