Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T14:19:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0D 0x0d89…4fc5 crypto 839 markets active 0h ago coverage 25d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 25d only
✗ bot/MM pace (119 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$11 (-0%) realized −$11 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR58%break-even
Win rate73%614W / 224L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$27per market
Trades / day119.4pace
Kalshi-fit94%portable
Net worth$5now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$739
7 days−$713
14 days−$105
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 97% −$62
other 3% +$58
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (119 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-8.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 276 -15.9% -23.9% 62% 47% -19.6%
≤30d 838 +1.6% -8.0% 73% 58% -9.5%
≤90d 838 +1.6% -8.0% 73% 58% -9.5%
all 838 +1.6% -8.0% 73% 58% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover119.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.0% 58% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -16.8% 35% -18.2%
15% -24.9% 15% -26.1%
20% -32.2% 7% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
18% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +10% → late -7% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$17 · ×0.36 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.0 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

25d coverage
Net worth$5
Realized−$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses614 / 224
Open positions1
Markets (closed)838 / 839
History coverage25d ⚠
Avg bet$27
Trades / day119.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 838 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 72¢ 75¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+4%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $30 +$5 +18%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$2 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $43 +$13 +30%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $31 +$9 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$3 -65%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $26 −$19 -72%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$3 +32%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$2 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $30 +$5 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$2 -24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $15 +$5 +34%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$4 +41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +18%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 17 $36 $0 -1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$2 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$4 -82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 17 $47 +$13 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$9 -87%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $20 −$17 -82%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +9%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$2 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +13%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $46 +$19 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$2 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -91%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 17 $25 +$2 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$3 -52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 17 $59 +$17 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $25 +$3 +13%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $30 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$7 -70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 16 $15 +$9 +59%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $31 +$11 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 16 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 16 $35 +$4 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 2m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $36 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $25 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 11m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $12 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $1 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $2 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $4 15m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $20 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $25 21m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.21 · official $2.12 · 3500 history records