trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me | Jun 14 | $93 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? | May 30 | $93 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 19 | $93 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 13 | $93 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 17 | $95 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Apr 15 | $95 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Mar 22 | $190 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 18 | $190 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 16 | $190 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 13 | $190 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 10 | $190 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 10 | $190 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Mar 07 | $191 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Mar 07 | $190 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 02 | $190 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Feb 24 | $190 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Feb 06 | $190 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jan 29 | $184 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Australian Open? | Jan 06 | $184 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jan 03 | $179 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jan 03 | $181 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Dec 31 | $183 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Dec 30 | $185 | $0 | -0% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 23 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 9% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |