Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:44:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0D
0x0d8c…0c63
crypto · 1148 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$764 +14%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$774 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$774
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses387 / 730
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1117 / 1148
History coverage66d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day20.6
Drawdown30%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1117 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$49
7 days+$147
14 days+$277
30 days+$689
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$24 +229%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$21 +196%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$29 +276%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$14 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$28 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$28 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$20 +193%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$25 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$29 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$12 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 10 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 10 $11 +$28 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$17 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$6 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 10 $11 +$28 +262%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 10 $11 +$28 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 10 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 10 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 10 $11 +$25 +242%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 10 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 10 $11 +$33 +312%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 09 $10 +$13 +123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 09 $10 +$18 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET May 30 $11 −$10 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$764
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $22 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $12 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $11 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $11 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $10 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $11 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $10 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $13 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $6 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $12 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $10 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $11 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $11 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $20 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $0 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $10 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-3.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 49 +25.7% +13.7% 41% 41% +17.0%
≤30d 565 +10.7% +0.2% 34% 34% +10.3%
≤90d 1117 +6.4% -3.8% 35% 34% +4.5%
all 1117 +6.4% -3.8% 35% 34% +4.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.8% 34% +4.5%
10% ← realistic here -13.0% 34% -5.5%
15% -21.4% 33% -14.7%
20% -29.1% 33% -23.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.19 (match) · 1732 history records