Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:01:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0D
0x0da5…4b12
crypto · 1038 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$808 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$808 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$808
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses726 / 501
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1227 / 1038
History coverage23d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day111.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1227 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$681
7 days−$683
14 days−$684
30 days−$808
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$3 -145%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$170
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-27.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 289 -66.7% -69.9% 15% 7% -43.0%
≤30d 1227 -20.2% -27.8% 59% 22% -20.7%
≤90d 1227 -20.2% -27.8% 59% 22% -20.7%
all 1227 -20.2% -27.8% 59% 22% -20.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover111.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.8% 22% -20.7%
10% ← realistic here -34.7% 18% -28.3%
15% -41.0% 8% -35.2%
20% -46.8% 4% -41.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records