Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T03:20:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
0D 0x0dab…4211 crypto 277 markets active 1h ago coverage 31d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 30d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (110 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$512 (-1%) realized −$512 · open +$0
Gross ROI / mkt +4% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -20% what you keep after slip
Net edge-20%after slip
Net WR45%break-even
Win rate48%137W / 148L
Whale WR58%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$233per market
Trades / day110.0pace
Fees−$141est.
Kalshi-fit91%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 31d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 63% −$2,156
sports 22% −$514
other 15% +$1,026
politics 0% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (110 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-5.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 57 +20.8% +9.3% 54% 49% -6.1%
≤30d 275 +3.8% -6.1% 48% 45% -14.1%
≤90d 285 +4.3% -5.7% 48% 45% -13.3%
all 285 +4.3% -5.7% 48% 45% -13.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover110.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.7% 45% -13.3%
10% ← realistic here -14.7% 36% -21.6%
15% -22.9% 30% -29.2%
20% -30.5% 25% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
7% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +4% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 58% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +2% → late +7% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
9.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$140 vs −$150 · ×0.93 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.86 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

31d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$512
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses137 / 148
Whale WR (big bets)58%
Est. fees paid−$141
Open positions0
Markets (closed)285 / 277
History coverage31d ⚠
Avg bet$233
Trades / day110.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 285 Trades
no open positions (112 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 25 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 25 $150 −$150 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 25 $630 −$630 -100%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner Jun 25 $150 −$150 -100%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5) Jun 25 $5 −$191 -3505%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 25 $6 −$6 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 25 $313 −$313 -100%
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 3.5 Jun 25 $262 +$38 +14%
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5 Jun 25 $121 +$79 +65%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24? Jun 25 $159 +$41 +26%
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 2.5 Jun 25 $109 −$108 -99%
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 0.5 Jun 25 $12 −$12 -97%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? Jun 25 $158 −$156 -99%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? Jun 25 $534 +$66 +12%
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Jun 25 $173 +$27 +16%
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 6.5 Jun 25 $177 +$23 +13%
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 1 Croatia? Jun 24 $52 +$144 +278%
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? Jun 24 $139 +$61 +44%
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5 Jun 24 $68 +$32 +48%
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5 Jun 24 $1,128 +$82 +7%
Spread: Croatia (-1.5) Jun 24 $140 −$10 -8%
Spread: England (-2.5) Jun 23 $951 +$170 +18%
England vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5 Jun 23 $50 +$449 +891%
Will England win on 2026-06-23? Jun 23 $574 −$320 -56%
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 23 $1,074 −$59 -6%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 23 $3,021 −$177 -6%
Spread: Jordan (-1.5) Jun 23 $11 −$10 -91%
Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 0 Algeria? Jun 23 $18 −$18 -100%
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 Senegal? Jun 23 $106 +$21 +20%
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? Jun 22 $840 +$560 +67%
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5 Jun 22 $864 +$86 +10%
Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 2 Cabo Verde? Jun 21 $520 +$223 +43%
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) Jun 21 $705 −$565 -80%
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? Jun 21 $132 −$111 -84%
Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 1 Cabo Verde? Jun 21 $23 −$22 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner Jun 21 $263 +$137 +52%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playof Jun 21 $178 +$22 +12%
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? Jun 21 $1,527 +$272 +18%
Spread: Japan (-1.5) Jun 21 $251 +$43 +17%
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 0 Curaçao? Jun 21 $16 +$118 +719%
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 Jun 21 $97 +$20 +21%
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 Jun 21 $70 +$54 +77%
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5 Jun 21 $153 +$189 +124%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playo Jun 20 $127 +$38 +30%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner Jun 20 $117 +$11 +10%
Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 20 $123 +$277 +226%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 Korea Republic? Jun 19 $108 +$356 +329%
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 Korea Republic? Jun 19 $84 −$84 -100%
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 0.5 Jun 19 $17 +$13 +79%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 60¢ $121 39m
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 54¢ $109 40m
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 87¢ $262 2h
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 0.5 BUY Under 12¢ $12 2h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? BUY Yes 52¢ $158 2h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24? BUY No 79¢ $159 2h
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 88¢ $177 3h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) BUY Brazil 86¢ $173 4h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? BUY Yes 89¢ $131 5h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? BUY Yes 89¢ $8 5h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? BUY Yes 89¢ $21 5h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? BUY Yes 89¢ $8 5h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? BUY Yes 89¢ $340 5h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? BUY Yes 89¢ $25 5h
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 67¢ $68 26h
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 93¢ $1,128 26h
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 1 Croatia? BUY Yes 28¢ $23 27h
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 1 Croatia? BUY Yes 25¢ $29 27h
Spread: Croatia (-1.5) SELL Croatia 44¢ $130 27h
Spread: Croatia (-1.5) BUY Croatia 46¢ $140 28h
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? BUY Yes 69¢ $139 28h
Will England win on 2026-06-23? SELL Yes 37¢ $254 29h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 12¢ $507 30h
Spread: England (-2.5) BUY Ghana 85¢ $558 30h
Spread: England (-2.5) BUY Ghana 85¢ $46 30h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 19¢ $787 30h
Spread: England (-2.5) BUY Ghana 84¢ $346 30h
England vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5 BUY Under 10¢ $47 30h
England vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5 BUY Under $2 30h
England vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5 BUY Under $1 30h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records