trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026? | No | 59¢ | 96¢ | $898 | $1,468 | +$570 (+63%) |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? | No | 5¢ | 4¢ | $53 | $42 | −$11 (-21%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026? | Jun 09 | $10,624 | +$3,094 | +29% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 08 | $260 | −$260 | -100% |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026? | Jun 06 | $2,826 | +$697 | +25% |
| GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026? | May 30 | $1,972 | +$794 | +40% |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026? | Apr 23 | $8,622 | +$1,070 | +12% |
| Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? | Apr 23 | $1,579 | +$71 | +4% |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 22, 2026? | Apr 20 | $10 | −$3 | -27% |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 17, 2026? | Apr 19 | $981 | +$19 | +2% |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 21, 2026? | Apr 17 | $195 | +$90 | +46% |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 19, 2026? | Apr 17 | $70 | +$28 | +40% |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026? | Apr 13 | $36 | −$34 | -94% |
| GPT-5.4 released by March 5? | Mar 05 | $4,980 | +$854 | +17% |
| GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026? | Mar 04 | $4,374 | +$2,323 | +53% |
| GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026? | Feb 26 | $3,087 | +$290 | +9% |
| Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Washington (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifie | Feb 16 | $20 | +$3 | +16% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -15.4% | -23.5% | 67% | 67% | +13.8% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -1.5% | -10.9% | 75% | 75% | +15.4% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -2.0% | -11.3% | 73% | 55% | +9.0% |
| all | 15 | +5.0% | -5.0% | 80% | 60% | +11.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -5.0% | 60% | +11.1% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -14.1% | 40% | +0.5% |
| 15% | -22.4% | 27% | -9.2% |
| 20% | -30.0% | 7% | -18.1% |